The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ingolstadt 39.2%
Draw 27.6%
Wehen Wiesbaden 33.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.7%
24.9%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
24.3%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ingolstadt's form might have worsened.
Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wehen Wiesbaden's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ingolstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wehen Wiesbaden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ingolstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
47. Klein D. (G) 20. Deichmann Y. 6. Antzoulas G. 15. Scholz J. 10. Kaygin D. 19. Rosenlocher L. 18. Bennetts K. 8. Carlsen F. 41. Sapina V. 28. Velupillay N. 13. Lokotsch L. (C)
16. Stritzel F. (G) 17. Nink B. 6. Fechner G. 19. Hubner F. 15. Janitzek J. 18. Greilinger F. 22. Massimo R. 37. Brandt M. 32. Paula R. 21. Muller M. 7. Schleimer L.
Substitutes
4. Decker E. 34. Frode L. 16. Ganda J. 5. Gul E. 37. Kanuric B. 23. Maljojoki J. 14. Plath M. 1. Ponath M. (G) 17. Ugondu O.
45. Allah I. 8. Bogicevic D. 20. Chaikhoun A. 28. Flotho M. 10. Kalem R. 41. Ludwig F. (G) 5. May N. 24. Neubert T. 14. Schultz M.
Coaches
Beierlorzer A.
Seitz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Muller M. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Scholz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
57', Carlsen F. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Hubner F. ⚽,
60', Kaygin D. ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
65', Brandt M. 🟨,
67', Velupillay N. ↓, Ganda J. ↑,
67', Carlsen F. ↓, Ugondu O. ↑,
70', Bennetts K. 🟨,
71', 0 - 2, Paula R. ⚽, Schleimer L. (A),
72', Paula R. ↓, Schultz M. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Schultz M. (Own goal),
77', Muller M. ↓, Flotho M. ↑,
77', Massimo R. ↓, Kalem R. ↑,
81', Sapina V. ↓, Frode L. ↑,
81', Bennetts K. ↓, Gul E. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Ugondu O. ⚽, Gul E. (A),
87', Deichmann Y. 🟨,
88', 2 - 3, Kalem R. ⚽, Schleimer L. (A),
89', Greilinger F. ↓, May N. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 4, Fechner G. ⚽, Kalem R. (A),
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 15th and 19th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1.
Ingolstadt is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Wehen has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Wehen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Ingolstadt has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:21 (averaging 2.1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ingolstadt against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 12:11 goals (averaging 2:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Ingolstadt
11
5
2
4
15:16
-1
17
10
Wehen
11
4
3
4
19:16
3
15
Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now
Ingolstadt: 3.08% Wehen: 2.01%
Last Results with these Odds
Ingolstadt - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.66%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Germany
International
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Klein D. (G) 
Antzoulas G. 
Kaygin D. 
Carlsen F. 
Velupillay N. 
Ganda J. 
Kanuric B. 
Maljojoki J. 
Ugondu O. 
Chaikhoun A. 
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