The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ingolstadt 38.4%
Draw 28%
Wehen Wiesbaden 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
24.9%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
24.3%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ingolstadt's form might have worsened.
Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wehen Wiesbaden's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ingolstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wehen Wiesbaden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Ingolstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 14th and 19th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1.
Ingolstadt is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Wehen has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Wehen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Ingolstadt has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:21 (averaging 2.1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ingolstadt against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 12:11 goals (averaging 2:1.8 per game).
Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now
Ingolstadt: 2.35% Wehen: 0.79%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Ingolstadt
7
2
2
3
7:11
-4
8
19
Wehen
7
1
2
4
5:13
-8
5
Last Results with these Odds
Ingolstadt - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.66%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.