The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vestri 61.2%
Draw 20.9%
Völsungur 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.2%
21.1%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
16.5%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vestri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Völsungur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vestri that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Völsungur than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Vestri - Völsungur Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Steinarsson M. (G) 6. Balde I. 29. Cheshmedjiev K. 3. Edson Eduardo 45. Einarsson G. 22. Gardarsson E. (C) 17. Hauksson G. 23. Hermannsson B. 13. Johannsson A. 11. Selven J. 15. Svavarsson G.
1. Magnusson J. (G) 9. Adalsteinsson E. 8. Arranz F. 14. Cardenas X. 7. Davidsson D. 4. Guardia J. 23. Gudmundsson E. 67. Helgason B. 77. Ketilsson I. 5. Kristjansson A. (C) 21. Mbye M.
Substitutes
16. Diagne A. 19. Duah E. 14. Eydal B. 10. Hafthorsson T. G. 18. Hagbardsson M. 2. Kristjansson G. H. 33. Snaedal B. (G)
97. Baldursson T. 17. Brynjulfsson J. 91. Hjalmsson Y. 19. Johannsson T. G. 11. Sorensson G. 18. Steingrimsson A. 13. Thorsteinsson S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Selven J. ⚽, Hermannsson B. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Adalsteinsson E. ⚽, Kristjansson A. (A),
43', Cheshmedjiev K. 🟨,
43', Cardenas X. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
57', Svavarsson G. ↓, Duah E. ↑,
57', Johannsson A. ↓, Eydal B. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Hermannsson B. ⚽, Duah E. (A),
64', Helgason B. ↓, Sorensson G. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Hauksson G. ⚽, Hermannsson B. (A),
67', 4 - 1, Hauksson G. ⚽, Hermannsson B. (A),
68', Davidsson D. ↓, Thorsteinsson S. ↑,
68', Arranz F. ↓, Baldursson T. ↑,
74', Selven J. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
74', Hermannsson B. ↓, Hagbardsson M. ↑,
79', Cardenas X. ↓, Steingrimsson A. ↑,
79', Thorsteinsson S. ↓, Johannsson T. G. ↑,
79', Cheshmedjiev K. ↓, Kristjansson G. H. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Hafthorsson T. G. ⚽,
90', Kristjansson G. H. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vestri won 2.
In recent matches, Vestri has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Völsungur has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Vestri is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vestri won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Vestri won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).