Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Copet (Vevey)


	Vevey		Baden

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.45
	2.29	3.7	2.55
	2.36	3.88	2.56
	2.39	3.86	2.58
	2.33	3.58	2.49
	2.29	3.7	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)	2.53 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vevey
39.4%

Draw
24.5%

Baden
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

25.1%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vevey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Baden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vevey than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Baden aligns with the current prediction.

Vevey - Baden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Fohouo M. (G) 71. Louisius M. (C) 21. Jaquenoud L. 33. Baumann S. 22. Diaz T. 9. Ssebunya I. 8. Correa J. 34. Mayingi J. 99. Khiari A. 19. Yana D. 10. Eleouet A.	1. Mazzeo M. (G) 2. Kunz S. 5. Monney T. 3. Isufi E. 29. Muff P. 7. Romano D. (C) 8. Rodriguez F. 12. Holcbecher M. 16. Kalt J. 28. Lewis O. 25. Haile-Selassie K.
Substitutes
11. Assis Mehmeti A. 88. Doumbia S. 15. Galeano D. 18. Laouini E. 7. Munishi H. 28. Pizza M. (G) 32. Zuvic F.	18. Abubakar K. (G) 14. Brack J. 13. Iodice K. 6. Kasongo S. 11. Morina A. 26. Rhein D. 22. Solimando F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Kunz S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lewis O. ↓, Brack J. ↑,
81', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Kunz S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16).

Vevey is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baden has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Baden has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vevey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vevey
Swiss Promotion League
10.05.25	Lugano II - Vevey	2:3 ✺
03.05.25	Vevey - Young Boys II	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Bulle - Vevey	2:2 ✺
17.04.25	Vevey - Kriens	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Paradiso - Vevey	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWTWL
- FC Baden
Swiss Promotion League
10.05.25	Baden - Delémont	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Paradiso - Baden	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Basel II - Baden	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Bavois - Baden	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Grand-Saconnex - Baden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
09.11.24	Baden - Vevey	2:5

Vevey - Baden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide