Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo Pian Scairolo (Collina d'Oro)


	Paradiso		Baden

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.8
	1.82	3.35	3.95
	1.84	3.18	4.68
	1.88	3.45	4.11	Watch
	1.83	3.32	3.98
	1.82	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.94)	3.33 ↓ (3.34)	4.08 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paradiso
50%

Draw
27.5%

Baden
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paradiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Baden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paradiso than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baden than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Paradiso - Baden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pala Y. (G) 3. De Queiroz N. 4. Delli Carri S. 5. Miranda S. 2. Schelotto E. 6. Guidotti S. 24. Centinaro T. 54. Bollati L. 10. Rossier E. 9. Hadzi M. 39. Djorkaeff O.	1. Mazzeo M. (G) 2. Kunz S. 5. Monney T. 3. Isufi E. 4. Fazlic E. 7. Romano D. (C) 8. Rodriguez F. 12. Holcbecher M. 11. Morina A. 19. Zivkovic N. 25. Haile-Selassie K.
Substitutes
67. Akdemir M. 77. Bandeira A. 12. Cinquini M. 21. Garau O. 13. Gomis M. (G) 8. Simo J. 34. Sylaj D.	14. Brack J. 10. Giampa D. 16. Kalt J. 28. Lewis O. 29. Muff P. 26. Rhein D. 30. Zalokar S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Guidotti S. 🟨,
29', Haile-Selassie K. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Bollati L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Haile-Selassie K. ↓, Lewis O. ↑,
57', Guidotti S. ↓, Simo J. ↑,
58', Kunz S. ↓, Kalt J. ↑,
58', Morina A. ↓, Brack J. ↑,
63', Hadzi M. ↓, Bandeira A. ↑,
64', Zivkovic N. ↓, Giampa D. ↑,
79', Holcbecher M. ↓, Rhein D. ↑,
83', Romano D. 🟨,
90+4', Rossier E. ↓, Cinquini M. ↑,
90+5', Pala Y. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Paradiso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paradiso is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paradiso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Paradiso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Paradiso
Swiss Promotion League
26.04.25	Lugano II - Paradiso	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Paradiso - Young Boys II	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Paradiso - Vevey	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Paradiso - Kriens	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Bavois - Paradiso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTWLL
- FC Baden
Swiss Promotion League
26.04.25	Basel II - Baden	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Bavois - Baden	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Grand-Saconnex - Baden	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Baden - Luzern II	1:5 ✺
23.03.25	Baden - Zurich II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
26.10.24	Baden - Paradiso	1:0
Swiss 1 Liga Classic Group 1
11.06.22	Paradiso - Baden	1:0
Swiss 1 Liga Classic Group 3
20.11.21	Paradiso - Baden	2:1

Paradiso - Baden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide