Match Info

Challenge League - Round 5

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Victoria Hotspurs		Swieqi United

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.60	1.85
	3.50	3.40	1.82	Watch
	3.28	3.81	1.9	Watch
	3.37	3.88	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.02)	3.67 ↑ (3.51)	1.87 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Hotspurs
26.9%

Draw
24.6%

Swieqi United
48.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.5%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Hotspurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Swieqi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Victoria Hotspurs - Swieqi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Hili B. ⚽,
67', 🟥,
82', 1 - 1, Arthur ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th in the Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Swieqi United holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Swieqi	5	3	1	1	11:9	2	10
10	Victoria Hotspurs	5	2	0	3	6:7	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
18.10.26	Naxxar Lions - Victoria Hotspurs	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Victoria Hotspurs - Fgura United	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Żurrieq - Victoria Hotspurs	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Victoria Hotspurs - St. Andrews	3:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Victoria Hotspurs	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWL
- Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League
18.10.26	Swieqi United - Sirens	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Swieqi United	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Swieqi United - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Attard - Swieqi United	3:3 ✺
23.04.26	Swieqi United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
30.10.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Victoria Hotspurs	✺

Victoria Hotspurs - Swieqi United