Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Hamrun Spartans		Victoria Hotspurs

	1	X	2
	1.06	8.8	19.5	Watch
	1.04	11.02	20	Watch
	1.08	10	17
	1.03	12.6	34
	1.01	9	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.17)	10.28 ↑ (6.15)	22.3 ↑ (13.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
87.1%

Draw
8.8%

Victoria Hotspurs
4.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.4%

14.8%

6.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamrun Spartans's performance.

Victoria Hotspurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Hamrun Spartans - Victoria Hotspurs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Attard S. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Mbong J. ⚽,
63', 3 - 0, Camenzuli R. ⚽,
72', 4 - 0, Koffi N. ⚽,
73', 5 - 0, Cadjenovic J. ⚽,

Preview

Hamrun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Victoria Hotspurs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hamrun has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hamrun is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League
21.12.25	Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Shamrock Rovers - Hamrun Spartans	3:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
14.12.25	Hamrun Spartans - Marsaxlokk	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Hamrun Spartans - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW
- Victoria Hotspurs
Maltese FA Trophy
06.02.25	Victoria Hotspurs - Floriana	1:4 ✺
15.11.22	Mqabba - Victoria Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LL

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