Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 17

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Victoria Sulejówek		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.8
	2.09	3.6	2.9
	2.11	3.56	2.84
	2.15	3.7	2.84	Watch
	2.11	3.55	2.91
	2.09	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.92)	3.6 ↓ (4.3)	2.87 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Sulejówek
43.2%

Draw
25.2%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

21.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

21.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Sulejówek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Sulejówek than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Victoria Sulejówek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Victoria Sulejówek - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Wisniewski K. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Gajewski A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 🟥,
67', 0 - 3, Wisniewski K. ⚽,
79', 0 - 4, Debski R. (Own goal),
85', 0 - 5, Bojanczyk K. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Sulejówek
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.11.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Victoria Sulejówek	0:4 ✺
02.11.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Stomil Olsztyn	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Victoria Sulejówek	4:3 ✺
19.10.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Legia II	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Victoria Sulejówek	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLW
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.11.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.06.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3
Club Friendly
24.02.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	1:2
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.11.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	1:2
27.04.19	Victoria Sulejówek - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3
09.09.18	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	3:0
09.06.18	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Victoria Sulejówek	0:1
10.11.17	Victoria Sulejówek - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2

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