Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński		Victoria Sulejówek

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.2
	1.92	3.7	3.25
	2	3.54	3.11
	1.96	3.72	3.22
	1.95	3.55	3.28
	1.92	3.7	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.1)	3.62 ↓ (3.7)	3.22 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
46.7%

Draw
25.1%

Victoria Sulejówek
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

25%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Victoria Sulejówek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Sulejówek than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Victoria Sulejówek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
62', 1 - 2, Czernij K. (Pen),
65', 2 - 2, Shinonaga Y. ⚽,
76', 3 - 2, Czernij K. (Pen),
81', 3 - 3, ⚽,
82', 4 - 3, Bogdanski D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.10.24	Wisła Płock II - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - GKS Bełchatów	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- Victoria Sulejówek
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.10.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Legia II	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Victoria Sulejówek	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Wigry Suwałki	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Mławianka Mława - Victoria Sulejówek	5:2 ✺
21.09.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Wikielec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWWLW

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