Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 22

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday


	Victoriano Arenas		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.85	2.2
	2.8	3	2.4
	3.19	3.08	2.28
	3.3	2.75	2.2
	3.14	3.06	2.27
	3.1	2.95	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.64)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	2.27 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoriano Arenas
29.2%

Draw
30.8%

Sportivo Italiano
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

31.2%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.9%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoriano Arenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Victoriano Arenas - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Victoriano Arenas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sportivo Italiano will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Victoriano Arenas won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Sportivo Italiano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sportivo Italiano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Victoriano Arenas won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Victoriano Arenas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoriano Arenas
Argentinian Primera C
12.06.23	Berazategui - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	Victoriano Arenas - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
29.05.23	Victoriano Arenas - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Liniers - Victoriano Arenas	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Victoriano Arenas - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTLT
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera C
10.06.23	Sportivo Italiano - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
29.05.23	Deportivo Yupanqui - Sportivo Italiano	2:1 ✺
19.05.23	Sportivo Italiano - Puerto Nuevo	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
11.02.23	Sportivo Italiano - Victoriano Arenas	2:1
09.07.22	Victoriano Arenas - Sportivo Italiano	2:1
06.03.22	Sportivo Italiano - Victoriano Arenas	3:0
30.10.21	Sportivo Italiano - Victoriano Arenas	1:1
04.07.21	Victoriano Arenas - Sportivo Italiano	4:0
17.01.21	Victoriano Arenas - Sportivo Italiano	0:2
07.03.20	Sportivo Italiano - Victoriano Arenas	1:1

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