Match Info

HUNGARY: OTP Bank Liga - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Sostoi Stadion (Székesfehérvár)

Referee: Bogar G. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Videoton		Ujpest

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.25	3.35	3
	2.41	3.23	3.08
	2.36	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.31	3.2	2.96	Watch
	2.25	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.6)	3.25 ↓ (3.28)	3 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Videoton
40.6%

Draw
28.5%

Ujpest
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.9%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

27.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Videoton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Videoton's performance.

Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ujpest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Videoton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ujpest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Videoton - Ujpest Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Videoton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nagy G. (G) 21. Huszti A. 31. Serafimov N. 4. Spandler C. 16. Simut M. 14. Csongvai A. (C) 13. Kalmar Z. 99. Peto M. 70. Holender F. 9. Gradisar N. 77. Katona M.	93. Piscitelli R. (C) 55. Fiola A. 35. Duarte A. 30. Nunes J. 5. Kobouri D. 10. Tajti M. 29. Onovo V. 47. Mucsanyi M. 88. Ljujic M. 77. Denes A. 9. Brodic F.
Substitutes
74. Babos B. 15. Kovacs M. 19. Kovacs P. 3. Larsen K. 8. Melnyk B. 7. Milicevic I. 11. Stefanelli N. 23. Szabo B. 71. Toth T. 75. Veszelinov D. (G)	23. Banai D. (G) 25. Baranyai N. 8. Dekei M. 26. Geiger B. 1. Gellert G. (G) 44. Gergenyi B. 11. Horvath K. 74. Kaczvinszki D. 70. Karamoko M. 18. Lacoux T. 38. Sarkadi K.
Coaches
Peto T.	Grzelak B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Huszti A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Nunes J. 🟨,
58', Mucsanyi M. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
61', Katona M. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
61', Simut M. ↓, Milicevic I. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Tajti M. ⚽, Brodic F. (A),
69', Denes A. 🟨,
70', Denes A. ↓, Karamoko M. ↑,
70', Tajti M. ↓, Lacoux T. ↑,
70', Peto M. ↓, Kovacs P. ↑,
75', Holender F. ↓, Szabo B. ↑,
82', Ljujic M. 🟨,
85', Onovo V. ↓, Gergenyi B. ↑,
85', Ljujic M. ↓, Geiger B. ↑,
90+2', Geiger B. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fehérvár won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fehérvár won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26:22 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Fehérvár won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Videoton FC
Hungarian NB I
10.11.24	Diósgyőri - Videoton	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Videoton - Kecskemeti	6:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
30.10.24	Videoton - Diósgyőri	2:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
26.10.24	Videoton - Debreceni	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Ferencvárosi - Videoton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL
- Ujpest FC
Hungarian NB I
09.11.24	Ujpest - Paksi SE	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Puskás Academy - Ujpest	1:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
30.10.24	BVSC-Zugló - Ujpest	0:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
26.10.24	MTK Budapest - Ujpest	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Ujpest - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
11.08.24	Ujpest - Videoton	4:1
03.03.24	Ujpest - Videoton	2:0
04.11.23	Videoton - Ujpest	2:1
29.07.23	Ujpest - Videoton	2:1
08.04.23	Videoton - Ujpest	0:0
09.11.22	Ujpest - Videoton	2:1
10.10.22	Videoton - Ujpest	0:1

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