Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Vigasio		Luparense

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.68
	2.36	3.44	2.64	Watch
	2.34	3.3	2.62
	2.37	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.35)	3.35 ↓ (3.53)	2.64 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigasio
38.6%

Draw
27%

Luparense
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

25.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25.9%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigasio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Luparense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigasio than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Vigasio - Luparense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ferchichi H. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Casarotti E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
62', 3 - 0, ⚽,
66', 4 - 0, ⚽,
74', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).

Vigasio is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Luparense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Luparense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vigasio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Vigasio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Vigasio
Italian Serie D - Group C
06.12.25	Brian Lignano - Vigasio	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vigasio - Union Clodiense	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Campodarsego - Vigasio	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vigasio - Calvi Noale	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Adriese - Vigasio	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTTL
- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
07.12.25	Luparense - Conegliano	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Mestre - Luparense	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Luparense - Obermais	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	San Luigi - Luparense	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Luparense - Treviso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
09.02.20	Vigasio - Luparense	1:0
06.10.19	Luparense - Vigasio	4:1

Vigasio - Luparense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide