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Current Win Probability
Vigor Lamezia 36.3%
Draw 30.1%
ACR Messina 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
29%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
27.8%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vigor Lamezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Vigor Lamezia - ACR Messina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
ACR Messina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vigor Lamezia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Vigor Lamezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).