The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Savoia 64.6%
Draw 22.2%
ACR Messina 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
29%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
27.6%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Savoia's performance.
ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ACR Messina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Savoia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACR Messina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Savoia - ACR Messina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Umbaca F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
Savoia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
ACR Messina is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Savoia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Savoia is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Savoia will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Savoia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Savoia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
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