Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 23

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Vigor Senigallia		Fermana

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.1	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.18)	3.1 (3.1)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Senigallia
42.2%

Draw
28.9%

Fermana
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

29%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Senigallia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Vigor Senigallia - Fermana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Gabbianelli G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Vigor Senigallia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fermana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vigor Senigallia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vigor Senigallia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vigor Senigallia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Vigor Senigallia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.02.25	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Vigor Senigallia - Isernia	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Avezzano - Vigor Senigallia	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Vigor Senigallia - Castelfidardo	0:2 ✺
22.12.24	Vigor Senigallia - Roma City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLLT
- US Fermana
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.02.25	Fermana - L Aquila	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Isernia - Fermana	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Fermana - Atletico Ascoli	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Ancona - Fermana	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Fermana - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
13.10.24	Fermana - Vigor Senigallia	0:0
Club Friendly
27.08.22	Vigor Senigallia - Fermana	0:2

Vigor Senigallia - Fermana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide