Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Notaresco		Termoli

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.98	3.3
	2.06	2.78	3.67
	2.08	3.07	3.49	Watch
	2.12	2.93	3.46
	2.1	2.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.26)	2.91 ↓ (3.43)	3.53 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notaresco
43.3%

Draw
31.1%

Termoli
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

26.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

26.8%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Termoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Termoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Notaresco - Termoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Notaresco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Cancello R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, Pistillo D. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 1.

Notaresco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Termoli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Notaresco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Notaresco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.11.25	Ostia Mare - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Notaresco - L Aquila	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Notaresco - UniPomezia	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.11.25	Notaresco - Teramo	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Sammaurese - Notaresco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLT
- Termoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.11.25	Termoli - Teramo	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sammaurese - Termoli	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Termoli - Sora	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Fossombrone - Termoli	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Termoli - Maceratese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Notaresco - Termoli	2:0
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.09.24	Notaresco - Termoli	0:2
24.03.24	Termoli - Notaresco	2:0
12.11.23	Notaresco - Termoli	0:0
30.04.23	Termoli - Notaresco	0:0
18.12.22	Notaresco - Termoli	0:0

Notaresco - Termoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide