Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 11

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Spartak Stadium (Sandanski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Vihren Sandanski		Nesebar

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.8	7.4
	1.32	5.39	6.98
	1.31	5.3	7.3	Watch
	1.28	5.3	6.2
	1.33	4.86	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)	5.13 ↑ (4.5)	7.2 ↓ (7.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vihren Sandanski
69.7%

Draw
17.7%

Nesebar
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.9%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

19.2%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vihren Sandanski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Nesebar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vihren Sandanski than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vihren Sandanski - Nesebar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vihren will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vihren (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Mihaylov A. (G) 21. Bashliev A. 6. Bastunov A. 73. Bengyuzov V. 26. Hadzhiev K. 8. Ivov M. 77. Ramadan A. 13. Trenkov A. 22. Tungarov A. 19. Veselinski A. 29. Yordanov P.	13. Sheytanov M. (G) 14. Balinov D. 5. Dimov P. 22. Ismailov R. 8. Kunev V. 3. Lastardzhiev D. 99. Parashkevov K. 88. Simeonov M. 77. Statev S. 23. Stoyanov I. 19. Zeggai M.
Substitutes
7. Al Badarin M. 5. Arsov I. 25. Kilov A. 10. Kostadinov T. 9. Krastev K. 15. Lazarov I. 17. Leo Pimenta 1. Nistorov S. (G)	20. Bonev P. 11. Cabanelas D. 7. Gelin N. 1. Ivanov H. (G) 15. Klymenko O. 27. Kostov N. 17. Mitev R. 21. Pergelov S. 4. Petkov T. 18. Terziev R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
69', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ efbet League and 6th).

Vihren has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nesebar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The betting markets point to Vihren as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Vihren in today's match, at odds of 1.31.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vihren	11	7	3	1	25:11	14	24
7	Nesebar	11	5	2	4	20:17	3	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vihren Sandanski
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
21.09.26	Sportist Svoge - Vihren Sandanski	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Vihren Sandanski - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Montana - Vihren Sandanski	1:4 ✺
03.09.26	Vihren Sandanski - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Spartak Pleven - Vihren Sandanski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW
- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.09.26	Nesebar - Beroe Stara Zagora	4:3 ✺
15.09.26	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Nesebar	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Nesebar - Rilski Sportist	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Nesebar	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Nesebar - Yantra Gabrovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWLT

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