Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 30

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Viimsi Staadion (Viimsi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee


	Viimsi JK		Tartu Welco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.60	2.95
	2.10	3.75	2.55
	1.97	4.32	3.11
	2.12	3.93	2.73	Watch
	1.85	4.20	2.85
	1.95	4.33	3.06
	1.94	3.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.26)	3.97 ↑ (3.55)	2.9 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viimsi JK
45.7%

Draw
22.9%

Tartu Welco
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

25.2%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

24.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viimsi JK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viimsi JK's performance.

Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viimsi JK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Viimsi JK will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tartu Welco will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Ernits H. ⚽, Malki E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viimsi JK won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Viimsi JK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Viimsi JK could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Viimsi JK won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 2.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Viimsi JK won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tartu Welco	31	20	5	6	81:39	42	65
2	Viimsi JK	31	16	5	10	56:31	25	53

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
13.09.26	Nõmme United U21 - Viimsi JK	1:0 ✺
10.09.26	Viimsi JK - Elva	5:0 ✺
03.09.26	Viimsi JK - FC Tallinn	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	1:3 ✺
24.08.26	Viimsi JK - Nõmme United U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWW
- Tartu JK Welco
Estonian Esiliiga
14.09.26	Tartu Welco - Nõmme Kalju U21	3:0 ✺
10.09.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Welco	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tartu Welco	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
29.08.26	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	1:3
02.07.26	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	2:2
23.04.26	Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco	2:0
03.10.25	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	1:4
18.08.25	Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco	3:2
23.07.25	Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco	2:1
26.04.25	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	3:1

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