Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 26

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Holm Jalgpallipark (Tartu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tartu Welco		Viimsi JK

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.50	2.65
	2.00	3.50	2.85
	2.17	3.60	2.69
	2.22	3.72	2.68	Watch
	2.14	3.55	2.65
	2.08	4.16	2.86
	2.14	3.60	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.89)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)	2.72 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Welco
42.3%

Draw
24.6%

Viimsi JK
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

23.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tartu Welco's form might have worsened.

Viimsi JK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tartu Welco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viimsi JK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Ekharts D. ⚽, Krimm N. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Lehtmets R. ⚽,
37', Jalle M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
85', 0 - 3, Vahe R. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Mugra M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tartu Welco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 1.5:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Welco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.4:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tartu Welco	31	20	5	6	81:39	42	65
2	Viimsi JK	31	16	5	10	56:31	25	53

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu JK Welco
Estonian Esiliiga
23.08.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tartu Welco	2:4 ✺
20.08.26	Tartu Welco - Levadia Tallinn U21	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Tartu Welco - Flora U21	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Elva - Tartu Welco	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Nõmme United U21 - Tartu Welco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWLL
- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
24.08.26	Viimsi JK - Nõmme United U21	4:1 ✺
21.08.26	Flora U21 - Viimsi JK	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Viimsi JK - Levadia Tallinn U21	5:0 ✺
08.08.26	Maardu Linnameeskond - Viimsi JK	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
02.07.26	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	2:2
23.04.26	Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco	2:0
03.10.25	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	1:4
18.08.25	Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco	3:2
23.07.25	Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco	2:1
26.04.25	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	3:1
27.10.24	Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco	1:1

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