Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 30

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Lyse Arena (Stavanger)

Referee: Hansen T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
Norway	TV2 Play
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
World	Onefootball


	Viking Stavanger		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	9	Watch
	1.2	7.7	10.5	Watch
	1.27	7.76	10.55
	1.43	4.95	6.44	Watch
	1.28	6.58	8.67	Watch
	1.22	7	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.43)	6.75 ↑ (4.95)	9.11 ↑ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viking Stavanger
75.3%

Draw
14.2%

Vålerenga
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

19.1%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

18.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viking Stavanger's performance.

Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viking Stavanger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Viking Stavanger - Vålerenga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Viking (1.28) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Viking Stavanger will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Viking Stavanger will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Viking (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ostbo A. (G) 18. Bjorshol S. 6. Stensness G. 4. Roseth M. 23. Haugen K. 19. Askildsen K. 8. Bell J. 26. Kvia-Egeskog S. 10. Tripic Z. (C) 20. Christiansen P. 17. Austbo E.	16. Hedvall O. (G) 3. Sjatil H. 4. Olsen A. 37. Nasberg I. 6. Hedenstad V. (C) 10. Lange C. 55. Jarl S. 15. Hagen E. 24. Strand P. 17. Grundetjern M. 11. Sorensen E.
Substitutes
14. Alte R. 21. Baertelsen A. 16. Berisha V. 33. Hansen J. 2. Haugen H. J. 5. Heggheim H. 13. Klaesson K. (G) 28. Mikaelsson H. 7. Svendsen S.	18. Forcha E. 19. Meliga P. 14. Obasi O. 23. Pallas N. 22. Sjovold S. 1. Storevik J. (G) 5. Tshiembe K.
Coaches
Jensen M.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Austbo E. ⚽, Stensness G. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Roseth M. ⚽, Tripic Z. (A),
24', Strand P. 🟨,
45+3', Sjatil H. 🟨,
45+4', 3 - 0, Tripic Z. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 3 - 1, Hagen E. ⚽, Hedenstad V. (A),
54', 4 - 1, Haugen K. ⚽, Tripic Z. (A),
61', Kvia-Egeskog S. ↓, Hansen J. ↑,
61', Bjorshol S. ↓, Heggheim H. ↑,
66', Sorensen E. ↓, Meliga P. ↑,
66', Sjatil H. ↓, Pallas N. ↑,
72', 5 - 1, Askildsen K. ⚽, Haugen K. (A),
74', Roseth M. ↓, Baertelsen A. ↑,
74', Austbo E. ↓, Haugen H. J. ↑,
74', Olsen A. ↓, Tshiembe K. ↑,
74', Lange C. ↓, Sjovold S. ↑,
75', Bell J. 🟨,
78', Askildsen K. ↓, Alte R. ↑,
83', Meliga P. 🟨,
87', Strand P. ↓, Obasi O. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).

Viking is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viking won 1.

Viking has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vålerenga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vålerenga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Viking is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Viking: D'Agostino N. (Injury) Falchener H. (Yellow Cards) de Lanlay Y. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Vålerenga: Bjordal H. (Red Card) Bully O. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ofkir M. (Knee Injury) Vinicius Nogueira (Injury)

There are questionable in Viking: Tripic Z. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Viking won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 36:42. (average 1.8:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Viking won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.8:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viking Stavanger FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.11.25	Fredrikstad - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Viking Stavanger - Hamarkameratene	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Strømsgodset - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Viking Stavanger - Bryne	5:1 ✺
19.10.25	Tromsø - Viking Stavanger	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.11.25	Vålerenga - Kristiansund	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Vålerenga - Bodø Glimt	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Hamarkameratene - Vålerenga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
30.03.25	Vålerenga - Viking Stavanger	3:1
02.09.23	Viking Stavanger - Vålerenga	1:1
01.07.23	Vålerenga - Viking Stavanger	1:2
28.08.22	Viking Stavanger - Vålerenga	1:2
24.07.22	Vålerenga - Viking Stavanger	4:2
22.08.21	Vålerenga - Viking Stavanger	1:1
13.06.21	Viking Stavanger - Vålerenga	4:1

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