Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 2

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Lerkendal Stadion (Trondheim)

Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Rosenborg		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.2	3.65	3.05	Watch
	2.23	3.76	3.18
	2.23	3.69	3	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.9
	2.22	3.43	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.93)	3.56 ↓ (3.9)	3.08 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosenborg
42.8%

Draw
26.5%

Vålerenga
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

24.2%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

24.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosenborg's form might have worsened.

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosenborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Rosenborg - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Rosenborg will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenborg (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wahlstedt L. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 4. Ceide M. K. 5. Volden H. 22. Svensson J. (C) 18. Chiakha A. 17. Bomholt M. 8. Fossum I. 35. Ceide E. K. 9. Islamovic D. 25. Bakke J.	1. Hedvall O. (G) 3. Sjatil H. 4. Olsen A. 37. Nasberg I. 2. Finnsson K. 26. Thorvaldsen F. 28. Westergaard M. 10. Lange C. 11. Sorensen E. 8. Bjordal H. (C) 17. Grundetjern M.
Substitutes
3. Dahl T. 29. Duris D. 15. Mortensen J. 19. Pereira A. 2. Rosten H. 11. Sahsah N. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 10. Selnaes O. 24. Sorum H. (G)	29. Ambina F. 77. Haren L. 6. Hedenstad V. 55. Jarl S. 9. Rajkovic G. 90. Saeter O. 21. Sjoeng M. (G) 22. Sjovold S. 24. Strand P.
Coaches
Johansson A.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Lange C. ⚽, Finnsson K. (A),
60', Sorensen E. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
60', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Haren L. ↑,
60', Grundetjern M. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Nasberg I. ⚽,
65', Finnsson K. 🟨,
65', Bakke J. ↓, Sahsah N. ↑,
67', Lange C. ↓, Ambina F. ↑,
72', Fossum I. ↓, Selnaes O. ↑,
78', Saeter O. ↓, Rajkovic G. ↑,
78', Haren L. 🟨,
85', Witry A. F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 3.

Recent performances by Rosenborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vålerenga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rosenborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rosenborg might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Rosenborg: Mortensen J. (Ankle Injury) Nemcik T. (Knee Injury) Nordli S. (Injury) Reitan-Sunde J. (Injury) Slordal E. (Leg Injury) Vaananen S. (Injury)

There will not play in Vålerenga: Ambina F. (Suspended) Haren L. (Suspended) Ofkir M. (Knee Injury) Tshiembe K. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Rosenborg: Holmen I. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Vålerenga: Bjordal H. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40:31	9	34
13	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34:43	-9	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.03.26	Molde - Rosenborg	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.03.26	Bryne - Rosenborg	4:2 ET ✺
Club Friendly
27.02.26	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Rosenborg - Start	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Ranheim - Rosenborg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWW
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.03.26	Vålerenga - Sandefjord	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.03.26	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	4:3 ✺
27.02.26	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Vålerenga - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Djurgården - Vålerenga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.02.26	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	0:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
09.11.25	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	1:0
21.04.25	Vålerenga - Rosenborg	0:2
Club Friendly
21.02.24	Vålerenga - Rosenborg	4:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.10.23	Vålerenga - Rosenborg	1:3
06.05.23	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	1:3
09.10.22	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	3:0

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