Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kopavogsvollur (Kopavogur) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Spasjonnikovs V. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Czech Republic	16:30	Sport 1
Denmark	16:30	Disney+
Finland	17:30	Viaplay
France	16:30	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
Italy	16:30	Sky Calcio 1
Kazakhstan	20:30	Q Sport Arena
Norway	16:30	Viaplay
Romania	17:30	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Spain	16:30	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	16:30	Disney+
Ukraine	17:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	15:30	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5


	Vikingur Reykjavik		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.95
	3.6	3.5	1.87
	3.75	3.6	1.95	Watch
	4.02	3.65	1.99
	3.56	3.69	1.95	Watch
	3.93	3.93	1.9
	3.75	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (5)	3.64 ↓ (3.9)	1.94 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vikingur Reykjavik
25.1%

Draw
26%

Cercle Brugge
48.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.1%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.7%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vikingur Reykjavik's performance.

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cercle Brugge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vikingur Reykjavik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cercle Brugge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.2%	3.2%	93.5%

Vikingur Reykjavik - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: Cercle Brugge will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jonsson I. (G) 22. Gunnarsson K. 12. Sigurdsson H. 6. Vatnhamar G. 20. Ibrahimagic T. 11. Thordarson G. 8. Andrason V. (C) 19. Djuric D. 7. Agnarsson E. 21. Thrandarson A. 17. Sigurpalsson A.	21. Delanghe M. (G) 27. De Wilde N. 76. Lietaert J. 18. Miangue S. (C) 4. Gomis D. 17. Francis A. 30. Bruninho 7. Efekele M. 99. Ouattara A. K. 19. Olaigbe K. 9. Denkey K.
Substitutes
80. Arinbjornsson P. (G) 3. Aronsson D. H. 24. Atlason D. 5. Fjoluson J. 9. Gudjonsson H. 23. Hansen N. 18. Hauksson O. 29. Magnusson H. 16. Magnusson J. (G) 2. Thorkelsson S.	6. Agyekum L. 64. Coens S. 95. De Bel T. (G) 10. Felipe Augusto 75. Gheerardyns S. 84. Langenbick B. (G) 40. Martle X. 34. Somers T. 78. Vanackere O.
Coaches
Gunnlaugsson A.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Olaigbe K. ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Sigurpalsson A. ⚽, Djuric D. (A),
45+1', Djuric D. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Thrandarson A. ↓, Hansen N. ↑,
56', Francis A. 🟨,
58', Denkey K. 🟨,
59', Ouattara A. K. ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
59', Efekele M. ↓, Somers T. ↑,
59', Bruninho ↓, Agyekum L. ↑,
62', Sigurdsson H. ↓, Fjoluson J. ↑,
74', Gunnarsson K. ↓, Atlason D. ↑,
74', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Gudjonsson H. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Djuric D. ⚽, Agnarsson E. (A),
82', Gomis D. ↓, Gheerardyns S. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Vatnhamar G. ⚽, Thordarson G. (A),
88', Agnarsson E. ↓, Thorkelsson S. ↑,
90+1', Francis A. ↓, Vanackere O. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Kopavogsvollur.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Cercle Brugge have a series of home games.

In this match Cercle Brugge is a favorite.

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Utkus E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Bayo A. (Knock) Lietaert J. (Knock) Nazinho (Muscle Injury) Warleson (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
19.10.24	Akraness - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:4 ✺
06.10.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Omonia - Vikingur Reykjavik	4:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
29.09.24	Valur - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
25.09.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLTW
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.10.24	Cercle Brugge - Dender EH	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Royal Antwerp - Cercle Brugge	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Cercle Brugge - St. Gallen	6:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	1:1 ✺
26.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Gent	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWTW

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