Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 5

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Araki Y. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cercle Brugge		Gent

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.30	2.10	Watch
	3.20	3.40	2.20
	2.95	3.40	2.28	Watch
	3.28	3.53	2.29
	3.13	3.46	2.25	Watch
	3.20	3.45	2.20
	3.31	3.53	2.25	Watch
	3.05	3.35	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.55)	3.43 ↓ (3.68)	2.23 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cercle Brugge
30%

Draw
27.6%

Gent
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

25.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

25.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cercle Brugge's form might have worsened.

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cercle Brugge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	9.1%	54.5%

Cercle Brugge - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Gent will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Coucke G. (G) 2. Diakite I. 5. Kakou E. 24. Kondo G. (C) 15. Magnee G. 10. Amani L. 42. Mondele L. 12. Konate V. 71. Martens V. 9. Ngoura S. 22. Michal L.	33. Roef D. (C) 5. Ngom M. 16. Burgess C. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 57. Volckaert M. 27. De Vlieger T. 17. Delorge M. 20. Araujo T. 7. Balikwisha M. 11. Sonko M. 47. Vergara J.
Substitutes
30. Akinsola T. 33. Caicedo R. 8. Erick Nunes 41. Kouassi K. 84. Langenbick B. (G) 21. Lienard Y. (G) 7. Ouattara A. K. 62. Temperman I. 28. van der Bruggen H.	39. Ayinde A. 8. Benes L. 37. Kadri A. 22. Lopes L. 10. Omgba A. 3. Paskotsi M. 30. Peersman K. (G) 59. Seck E. H. 14. Wilson K.
Coaches
Friis L.	De Mil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Kakou E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Michal L. ↓, Erick Nunes ↑,
67', Balikwisha M. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
67', Sonko M. ↓, Seck E. H. ↑,
70', Amani L. 🟨,
72', Amani L. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
72', Kakou E. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, De Vlieger T. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Delorge M. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
82', Konate V. ↓, Caicedo R. ↑,
82', Ngoura S. ↓, Ouattara A. K. ↑,
89', Volckaert M. ↓, Paskotsi M. ↑,
89', Araujo T. ↓, Ayinde A. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, Seck E. H. ⚽, De Vlieger T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 2.

Recent form of Cercle Brugge has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gent is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cercle Brugge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Herrmann C. (Muscle Injury) Manneh A. (Inactive) Ndala J. (Knee Injury) Yago Lincoln (Transfer negotiations) van der Bruggen H. (Knock)

There will not play in Gent: Goore H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Ouattara A. K. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 32:40. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cercle Brugge won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.8:2.1).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Gent: 10.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22
17	Cercle Brugge KSV	8	0	3	5	9:16	-7	3

Last Results with these Odds

Cercle Brugge - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Gent - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.54%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.08.26	Cercle Brugge - Lommel	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Club Brugge - Cercle Brugge	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Standard Liège - Cercle Brugge	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Monaco - Cercle Brugge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTTT
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.09.26	Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Gent - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Hibernian - Gent	2:3 ✺
20.08.26	Gent - Hibernian	0:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.08.26	RAAL La Louvière - Gent	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.02.26	Gent - Cercle Brugge	0:1
Belgian Cup
03.12.25	Cercle Brugge - Gent	1:3
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.09.25	Cercle Brugge - Gent	2:4
15.12.24	Gent - Cercle Brugge	1:1
26.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Gent	2:1
11.02.24	Gent - Cercle Brugge	1:2
22.10.23	Cercle Brugge - Gent	2:0

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