Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kardesler A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 5
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 1
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 13
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect
Myanmar	23:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Sporza
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 6
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 14, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 13
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Vietnam	23:45	ON Plus
International	16:45	Disney+


	Cercle Brugge		St. Gallen

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.2
	2.1	3.5	2.95
	2.15	3.6	3.2
	2.25	3.68	3.27
	2.11	3.66	3.14	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.1
	2.17	3.79	3.22
	2.15	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.08)	3.62 ↓ (3.65)	3.16 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cercle Brugge
44%

Draw
26.1%

St. Gallen
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

25.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

26.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Cercle Brugge - St. Gallen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 5 - 50%). St. Gallen will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cercle Brugge: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Warleson (G) 2. Diakite I. 66. Ravych C. 18. Miangue S. 15. Magnee G. 17. Francis A. 28. van der Bruggen H. 20. Nazinho 34. Somers T. (C) 11. Minda A. 9. Denkey K.	1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 22. Faber K. 15. Diaby A. 20. Vallci A. 36. Okoroji C. 16. Gortler L. (C) 8. Quintilla J. 7. Witzig C. 24. Toma B. 9. Geubbels W. 10. Akolo C.
Substitutes
30. Bruninho 13. Brunner P. 21. Delanghe M. (G) 27. De Wilde N. 7. Efekele M. 10. Felipe Augusto 4. Gomis D. 84. Langenbick B. (G) 19. Olaigbe K. 99. Ouattara A. K.	5. Ambrosius S. 11. Cisse M. 77. Csoboth K. 35. Dumrath B. (G) 63. Konietzke C. 18. Mambimbi F. 90. Milosevic J. 14. Noah Yannick 4. Stanic J. 64. Stevanovic M. 28. Vandermersch H. 25. Watkowiak L. (G)
Coaches
Muslic M.	Maassen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Minda A. ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
21', Gortler L. 🟨,
23', Nazinho 🟨,
26', 2 - 0, Denkey K. ⚽, van der Bruggen H. (A),
32', Warleson ↓, Delanghe M. ↑,
43', 3 - 0, Denkey K. ⚽, Minda A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Okoroji C. ↓, Noah Yannick ↑,
46', Toma B. ↓, Csoboth K. ↑,
54', 4 - 0, Denkey K. (Pen),
58', 4 - 1, Csoboth K. ⚽, Witzig C. (A),
61', Minda A. ↓, Olaigbe K. ↑,
61', Nazinho ↓, De Wilde N. ↑,
61', Akolo C. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
63', 5 - 1, Magnee G. ⚽,
68', 6 - 1, Magnee G. ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
70', Denkey K. 🟨,
74', Denkey K. ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
74', Somers T. ↓, Brunner P. ↑,
76', Geubbels W. ↓, Milosevic J. ↑,
81', 6 - 2, Mambimbi F. ⚽, Csoboth K. (A),

Preview

Cercle Brugge is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches St. Gallen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cercle Brugge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cercle Brugge will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Bayo A. (Knock) Gomis D. (Injury) Lietaert J. (Knock) Utkus E. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	1:1 ✺
26.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Gent	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Genk	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Club Brugge - Cercle Brugge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWLLL
- FC St. Gallen
Swiss Super League
28.09.24	Yverdon - St. Gallen	1:0 ✺
24.09.24	St. Gallen - Zürich	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	St. Gallen - Luzern	2:3 ✺
Swiss Cup
14.09.24	Paradiso - St. Gallen	1:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
01.09.24	Lugano - St. Gallen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWT

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