Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Nordost - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Viktoria 1889 Berlin		Lokomotive Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.95	3.5	2.2
	2.98	3.54	2.21
	2.9	3.48	2.19	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2
	2.96	3.35	2.17
	2.95	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.17)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	2.17 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria 1889 Berlin
31%

Draw
26.7%

Lokomotive Leipzig
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

27.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

29.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria 1889 Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viktoria 1889 Berlin's form might have worsened.

Lokomotive Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotive Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria 1889 Berlin than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viktoria 1889 Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotive Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Lokomotive Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Siebeck A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', Yildirim M. 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Viktoria 1889 won 3.

Viktoria 1889 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lokomotive Leipzig is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lokomotive Leipzig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Viktoria 1889 won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Viktoria 1889 won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria 1889 Berlin
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Augsburg	1:4 ✺
German Regionalliga Nordost
11.08.24	Altglienicke - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Plauen - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.24	Wolfenbüttel - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTWL
- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.08.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Eilenburg	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Altglienicke - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.24	Hallescher - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:0 ✺
17.07.24	Wismut Gera - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
07.04.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	1:2
22.10.23	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Lokomotive Leipzig	5:0
03.02.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	1:2
12.08.22	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:2
25.04.21	Lokomotive Leipzig - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	Canceled
01.02.20	Lokomotive Leipzig - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	0:0
04.08.19	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:2

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