The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Viktoria Köln 31.8%
Draw 24.9%
Alemannia Aachen 43.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
24.8%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
24%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Viktoria Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Viktoria Köln - Alemannia Aachen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Richter D. (G) 18. Kloss T. 2. Dietz L. 22. Boboy V. 3. Agyekum J. 11. Velasco R. 4. Duman T. 6. Eisenhuth T. 5. Munst L. 7. Handle S. (C) 10. Otto D.
16. Pseftis F. (G) 37. da Silva Kiala J. 3. Wagner M. 2. Bagalianis P. 29. Nadjombe P. 36. Ademi F. 28. Wiebe D. (C) 24. Oehmichen J. 11. Loune M. 23. Gindorf L. 27. Schroers M.
Substitutes
38. Carella S. 8. Engelhardt F. 41. Kozuki S. 29. Popp L. 34. Ronstadt F. 40. Sachse J. 27. Schulz A. (G) 30. Tonye Y.
8. Bahn B. 44. Castelle N. H. 15. Hanraths M. 1. Riemann M. (G) 7. Scepanik L. 42. Sillah O. 5. Strujic S. 17. Torsiello F. 30. Winter N.
Coaches
Wilhelm M.
Selimbegovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Ademi F. ⚽, Oehmichen J. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Gindorf L. ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, Gindorf L. ⚽, Loune M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kloss T. ↓, Sachse J. ↑,
46', Agyekum J. ↓, Engelhardt F. ↑,
50', Duman T. 🟨,
64', Boboy V. 🟨,
73', Bagalianis P. ↓, Hanraths M. ↑,
77', Velasco R. ↓, Tonye Y. ↑,
82', Schroers M. ↓, Torsiello F. ↑,
82', Ademi F. ↓, Bahn B. ↑,
82', Oehmichen J. ↓, Scepanik L. ↑,
87', Boboy V. ↓, Ronstadt F. ↑,
87', Wagner M. ↓, Strujic S. ↑,
88', Handle S. ↓, Kozuki S. ↑,
90+4', da Silva Kiala J. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Köln won 2.
Viktoria Köln has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Aachen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Aachen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Aachen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Köln won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:16. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Viktoria Köln won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 2.4:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Viktoria Koln
7
5
0
2
19:9
10
15
9
Alemannia Aachen
7
3
2
2
11:8
3
11
Last Results with these Odds
Viktoria Köln - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.66%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.