Match Info

Date: 26 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Stavrev A. (Mkd)


	Viktoria Plzeň		HJK

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.75
	1.43	4.33	6
	1.45	4.5	7.15
	1.52	4	5.4
	1.52	4.26	6.34
	1.52	4	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4.05	6.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)	4.19 ↑ (4)	6.17 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
62.5%

Draw
22.3%

HJK
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

23.4%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

23.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	7.9%	5.3%

Viktoria Plzeň - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: Viktoria Plzeň will win (66 of 76 users predict this - 86.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.24% – 94.44%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Recent matches Plzeň is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

HJK is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

HJK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Plzeň have a series of home games.

In this match Plzeň is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Plzeň won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
UEFA Champions League
20.07.22	HJK - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.22	Viktoria Plzeň - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
08.07.22	Viktoria Plzeň - Sint-Truidense	1:3 ✺
05.07.22	Viktoria Plzeň - Botoșani	0:0 ✺
01.07.22	Viktoria Plzeň - Táborsko	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLTW
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.07.22	Ilves - HJK	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.07.22	HJK - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.07.22	HJK - VPS Vaasa	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.07.22	Rīgas FS - HJK	2:2 penalties ✺
06.07.22	HJK - Rīgas FS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.07.22	HJK - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2

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