Match Info

Date: 6 July 2022, Wednesday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)


	HJK		Rīgas FS

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.78	3.6	4.6
	1.8	3.6	3.95
	1.89	3.35	3.85
	1.91	3.47	4.25
	1.83	3.5	4.33
	1.9	3.46	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.64)	3.47 ↓ (3.96)	4.13 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
50.4%

Draw
26.9%

Rīgas FS
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

23.4%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HJK's form might have worsened.

Rīgas FS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rīgas FS than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	8.7%	10.1%

HJK - Rīgas FS Predictions

Users Predictions: HJK will win (56 of 69 users predict this - 81.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.93% – 90.39%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

HJK is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches RFS is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RFS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match HJK is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches HJK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams HJK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.07.22	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
29.06.22	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.06.22	IFK Mariehamn - HJK	2:1 ✺
18.06.22	HJK - Oulu	0:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.06.22	VPS Vaasa - HJK	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLW
- Rīgas FS Women
Latvian Virsliga
30.06.22	Rīgas FS - BFC Daugavpils	4:0 ✺
26.06.22	Spartaks - Rīgas FS	0:2 ✺
22.06.22	Valmiera - Rīgas FS	4:0 ✺
18.06.22	Rīgas FS - Liepāja	2:2 ✺
27.05.22	Riga - Rīgas FS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.01.22	HJK - Rīgas FS	0:2
18.01.20	HJK - Rīgas FS	2:1

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