Match Info

Date: 12 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Slokas Stadions (Jūrmala)

Referee: Fuxman D. (Isr)


	Rīgas FS		HJK

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.3	3	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3.1
	2.4	3.15	3.05
	2.31	3.05	3
	2.38	3.23	3.18
	2.45	3.1	3	Watch
	2.36	3.13	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.57)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	3.06 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rīgas FS
39.4%

Draw
29.8%

HJK
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

31.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rīgas FS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rīgas FS than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	28%	36%

Rīgas FS - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Rīgas FS will win (votes: 9 - 36%). HJK will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rīgas FS: 17.2% – 54.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches RFS is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

HJK is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

HJK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches RFS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rīgas FS Women
Latvian Cup
09.07.22	Rīgas FS - Spartaks	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.07.22	HJK - Rīgas FS	1:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
30.06.22	Rīgas FS - BFC Daugavpils	4:0 ✺
26.06.22	Spartaks - Rīgas FS	0:2 ✺
22.06.22	Valmiera - Rīgas FS	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL
- HJK Helsinki
UEFA Champions League
06.07.22	HJK - Rīgas FS	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.07.22	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
29.06.22	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.06.22	IFK Mariehamn - HJK	2:1 ✺
18.06.22	HJK - Oulu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
06.07.22	HJK - Rīgas FS	1:0
Club Friendly
29.01.22	HJK - Rīgas FS	0:2
18.01.20	HJK - Rīgas FS	2:1

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