Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Frid I. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Viktoria Plzeň		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.75
	2.40	3.60	2.75
	2.45	3.55	2.85
	2.54	3.64	2.81
	2.46	3.6	2.75
	2.4	3.55	2.75
	2.49	3.67	2.8
	2.46	3.55	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.48)	3.6 ↑ (3.38)	2.78 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
38.9%

Draw
26.6%

Saint-Gilloise
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.8%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	27.8%	44.4%

Viktoria Plzeň - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 10 - 29.4%). Union SG will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 30.3% – 63.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 2 - 50%). Union SG (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Plzeň (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Union SG (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Union SG (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.67) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Union SG (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wiegele F. (G) 99. Memic A. 2. Paliscak T. 3. Vavro D. 5. Spacil K. 19. Souare C. 12. Sojka A. 36. Pirgic S. 17. Hrosovsky P. (C) 9. Visinsky D. 80. Adu P.	12. Koffi H. (G) 55. Havenaar N. 29. Sylla M. 80. Kricfalusi O. 27. Patris L. 17. Schoofs R. (C) 28. Olaru D. 11. Guilherme Smith 23. Zeneli B. 38. Mofokeng R. 9. Biondic M.
Substitutes
30. Baier V. (G) 6. Cerv L. 14. Doski M. 40. Dweh S. 23. Faal B. 29. Gabriel A. 25. Kabongo C. 18. Ladra T. 7. Lawal S. 20. Panos J. 98. Prebsl F. 10. Toure M.	20. Aquino D. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 4. Chibani N. 21. De Roeve D. 39. Hamoutahar Y. 25. Hurtevent I. 18. Kavlashvili G. (G) 32. Keita S. 13. Rodriguez K. 43. Tshilanda D.
Coaches
Kovac R.	Hubert D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', Kricfalusi O. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Mofokeng R. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
42', Biondic M. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Biondic M. ⚽, Patris L. (A),
45', Hrosovsky P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Spacil K. ↓, Dweh S. ↑,
46', Visinsky D. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
59', 0 - 3, Kricfalusi O. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
60', Pirgic S. 🟨,
63', Biondic M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
63', Mofokeng R. ↓, Hurtevent I. ↑,
63', Guilherme Smith ↓, De Roeve D. ↑,
64', Adu P. ↓, Faal B. ↑,
64', Memic A. ↓, Gabriel A. ↑,
72', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Cerv L. ↑,
75', Kricfalusi O. ↓, Chibani N. ↑,
83', Olaru D. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Plzeň have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Union SG is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Plzeň may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Plzeň: Jemelka V. (Knee Injury) Paluska J. (Surgery) Spacil K. (Ankle Injury) Tvrdon M. (Off the roster) Vydra M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Union SG: Ait El Hadj A. (Off the roster) Chibani N. (Off the roster) Florucz R. (Red Card) Mac Allister K. (Knee Injury) Pavlic I. (Off the roster) Rodriguez K. (Knock) Sykes R. (Shoulder Injury) Van De Perre K. (Red Card) Zorgane A. (Red Card)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Royale Union SG: 1.29% Plzen: 0.66%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Royale Union SG	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
13.09.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Sigma Olomouc	2:3 ✺
09.09.26	Hradec Králové - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Artis Brno - Viktoria Plzeň	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovácko	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	5:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWTW
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.09.26	Saint-Gilloise - Lommel	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise	2:3 ✺
02.09.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Saint-Gilloise - Zulte Waregem	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWT

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