Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Frid I. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, SuperSport Football Plus
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 8, Sky Sport Mix
Belgium	21:00	RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza, VRT Canvas
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 6
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	21:00	Sport 1, Voyo
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:00	Tabii Spor 4
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 8
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Viktoria Plzeň		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.75
	2.40	3.60	2.75
	2.45	3.55	2.85
	2.54	3.64	2.81
	2.46	3.6	2.75
	2.4	3.55	2.75
	2.49	3.67	2.8
	2.46	3.55	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.48)	3.6 ↑ (3.38)	2.78 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
38.9%

Draw
26.6%

Saint-Gilloise
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	27.8%	44.4%

Viktoria Plzeň - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 10 - 29.4%). Union SG will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 30.3% – 63.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 2 - 50%). Union SG (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Plzeň (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Union SG (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Union SG (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.67) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Union SG (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wiegele F. (G) 99. Memic A. 2. Paliscak T. 3. Vavro D. 5. Spacil K. 19. Souare C. 12. Sojka A. 36. Pirgic S. 17. Hrosovsky P. (C) 9. Visinsky D. 80. Adu P.	12. Koffi H. (G) 55. Havenaar N. 29. Sylla M. 80. Kricfalusi O. 27. Patris L. 17. Schoofs R. (C) 28. Olaru D. 11. Guilherme Smith 23. Zeneli B. 38. Mofokeng R. 9. Biondic M.
Substitutes
30. Baier V. (G) 6. Cerv L. 14. Doski M. 40. Dweh S. 23. Faal B. 29. Gabriel A. 25. Kabongo C. 18. Ladra T. 7. Lawal S. 20. Panos J. 98. Prebsl F. 10. Toure M.	20. Aquino D. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 4. Chibani N. 21. De Roeve D. 39. Hamoutahar Y. 25. Hurtevent I. 18. Kavlashvili G. (G) 32. Keita S. 13. Rodriguez K. 43. Tshilanda D.
Coaches
Kovac R.	Hubert D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', Kricfalusi O. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Mofokeng R. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
42', Biondic M. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Biondic M. ⚽, Patris L. (A),
45', Hrosovsky P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Spacil K. ↓, Dweh S. ↑,
46', Visinsky D. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
59', 0 - 3, Kricfalusi O. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
60', Pirgic S. 🟨,
63', Biondic M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
63', Mofokeng R. ↓, Hurtevent I. ↑,
63', Guilherme Smith ↓, De Roeve D. ↑,
64', Adu P. ↓, Faal B. ↑,
64', Memic A. ↓, Gabriel A. ↑,
72', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Cerv L. ↑,
75', Kricfalusi O. ↓, Chibani N. ↑,
83', Olaru D. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Plzeň have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Union SG is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Plzeň may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Plzeň: Jemelka V. (Knee Injury) Paluska J. (Surgery) Spacil K. (Ankle Injury) Tvrdon M. (Off the roster) Vydra M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Union SG: Ait El Hadj A. (Off the roster) Chibani N. (Off the roster) Florucz R. (Red Card) Mac Allister K. (Knee Injury) Pavlic I. (Off the roster) Rodriguez K. (Knock) Sykes R. (Shoulder Injury) Van De Perre K. (Red Card) Zorgane A. (Red Card)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Royale Union SG	3	2	1	0	8:1	7	7
33	Plzen	3	0	0	3	2:7	-5	0

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Royale Union SG: 2.25% Plzen: 0.55%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
13.09.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Sigma Olomouc	2:3 ✺
09.09.26	Hradec Králové - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Artis Brno - Viktoria Plzeň	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovácko	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	5:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWTW
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.09.26	Saint-Gilloise - Lommel	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise	2:3 ✺
02.09.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Saint-Gilloise - Zulte Waregem	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWT

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