Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Fortuna Arena (Prague)

Referee: Volek S. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Slovakia	Voyo


	Slavia Prague		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.10	5.25
	1.55	4.20	5.25
	1.49	4.30	6.00	Watch
	1.57	4.37	6.08
	1.52	4.32	5.77
	1.50	4.30	6.00
	1.57	4.29	5.49	Watch
	1.53	4.20	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)	4.26 ↑ (3.87)	5.63 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slavia Prague
61.3%

Draw
22%

Viktoria Plzeň
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slavia Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slavia Prague's performance.

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Slavia Prague (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Slavia Prague (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Slavia Prague (1.55) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Slavia Prague will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Slavia Prague (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Markovic J. (G) 3. Holes T. (C) 27. Vlcek T. 2. Chaloupek S. 14. Isife S. 30. Nowak W. 23. Sadilek M. 39. Jurasek D. 20. Ayaosi E. 25. Chory T. 10. Sturm D.	44. Wiegele F. (G) 2. Paliscak T. 40. Dweh S. 98. Prebsl F. 29. Gabriel A. 6. Cerv L. 17. Hrosovsky P. (C) 14. Doski M. 99. Memic A. 25. Kabongo C. 12. Sojka A.
Substitutes
47. Barcot D. 22. Diakite T. 29. Domchak N. (G) 32. Kacor P. 45. Kolisek J. 42. Konecny M. 16. Moses D. 17. Provod L. 9. Rajnoha A. 26. Schranz I.	80. Adu P. 30. Baier V. (G) 23. Faal B. 18. Ladra T. 7. Lawal S. 20. Panos J. 36. Pirgic S. 19. Souare C. 5. Spacil K. 10. Toure M. 3. Vavro D.
Coaches
Trpisovsky J.	Kovac R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Memic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Chaloupek S. 🟨,
56', Dweh S. 🟨,
63', Isife S. ↓, Provod L. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Memic A. ⚽, Hrosovsky P. (A),
70', Memic A. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
71', Kabongo C. ↓, Adu P. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Chaloupek S. ⚽,
75', Sturm D. ↓, Kacor P. ↑,
75', Holes T. ↓, Moses D. ↑,
75', Sojka A. ↓, Ladra T. ↑,
77', Gabriel A. 🟨,
87', Gabriel A. ↓, Spacil K. ↑,
88', Jurasek D. ↓, Schranz I. ↑,
90+4', Adu P. ↓, Pirgic S. ↑,
90+11', 2 - 1, Chory T. (Penalty Awarded),
90+16', Chory T. ↓, Konecny M. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 10th in the Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slavia Prague won 4.

Slavia Prague has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Plzeň has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Plzeň may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Slavia Prague holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Slavia Prague: Chytil M. (Ankle Injury) Ogbu I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouanda A. (Injury) Provod L. (Ankle Injury) Zima D. (Ankle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Plzeň: Jemelka V. (Knee Injury) Paluska J. (Surgery) Vydra M. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Slavia Prague: Moses D. (Injury) N'Guessan A. (Injury) Sadilek M. (Broken nose) Suleiman M. (Health problems).

Our forecast points to a victory for Slavia Prague in today's match, at odds of 1.46.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Slavia Prague has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:18 (averaging 1.9:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Slavia Prague against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 27:9 goals (averaging 2.1:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now

Slavia Prague: 64.42% Plzen: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	10	8	2	0	26:6	20	26
10	Plzen	10	3	4	3	20:17	3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Slavia Prague - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Slavia Prague
Czech Cup
16.09.26	Varnsdorf - Slavia Prague	1:5 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
13.09.26	Teplice - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Slavia Prague - Lens	2:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
05.09.26	Slavia Prague - Zbrojovka Brno	4:0 ✺
30.08.26	Sparta Prague - Slavia Prague	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW
- Viktoria Plzeň
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
13.09.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Sigma Olomouc	2:3 ✺
09.09.26	Hradec Králové - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Artis Brno - Viktoria Plzeň	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovácko	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
24.05.26	Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0
12.04.26	Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0
09.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Slavia Prague	3:5
03.05.25	Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzeň	4:3
23.02.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Slavia Prague	1:3
21.09.24	Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0
15.05.24	Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0

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