Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Vila Meã		Rebordosa

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.68	2.48
	2.97	2.46	2.76
	2.98	2.63	2.65	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.5
	2.86	2.81	2.66
	2.88	3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.88)	2.71 ↓ (3)	2.53 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Meã
31.1%

Draw
33.3%

Rebordosa
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

27.7%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Meã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rebordosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vila Meã - Rebordosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+11', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Rebordosa is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group

Vila Meã is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rebordosa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vila Meã won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Vila Meã won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.03.26	União Lamas - Vila Meã	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Vila Meã - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Alpendorada - Vila Meã	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Vila Meã - Resende	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cinfães - Vila Meã	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTT
- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.03.26	Rebordosa - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Resende - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rebordosa - Salgueiros 08	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Beira-Mar - Rebordosa	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Rebordosa - Anadia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.11.25	Rebordosa - Vila Meã	1:1
03.03.24	Vila Meã - Rebordosa	0:1
05.11.23	Rebordosa - Vila Meã	0:0

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