Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada)


	Alpendorada		Vila Meã

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.05	3.7
	1.99	2.94	3.82
	2.05	2.95	3.77	Watch
	2.05	2.7	3.6
	2.03	2.91	3.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.03)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	3.73 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
44.8%

Draw
31%

Vila Meã
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

31.3%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

31.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Vila Meã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Vila Meã aligns with the current prediction.

Alpendorada - Vila Meã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
54', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 3).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Alpendorada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	FC Alpendorada	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.02.26	Alpendorada - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Florgrade - Alpendorada	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Alpendorada - Leça	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Vila Real - Alpendorada	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Alpendorada - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTTTT
- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.02.26	Vila Meã - Resende	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cinfães - Vila Meã	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Vila Meã - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Vila Meã - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Florgrade - Vila Meã	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.10.25	Vila Meã - Alpendorada	0:0

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