Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Do Monte Forca (Vila Real)


	Vila Real		Gouveia

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.25	9.2
	1.29	4.47	9.16
	1.3	4.46	9.78	Watch
	1.3	4	11
	1.27	4.45	11.3
	1.25	4.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)	4.4 ↓ (4.48)	10.07 ↑ (9.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Real
70.4%

Draw
20.6%

Gouveia
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

20.4%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

19.3%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Gouveia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Vila Real - Gouveia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Real (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Vila Real (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Real (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Chiquinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Gouveia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vila Real is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vila Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.02.26	União Lamas - Vila Real	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Vila Meã - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Vila Real - Alpendorada	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Cinfães - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Vila Real - Florgrade	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTLT
- CD Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.02.26	Gouveia - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Aparecida - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Gouveia - Resende	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Salgueiros 08 - Gouveia	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Beira-Mar - Gouveia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.09.25	Gouveia - Vila Real	0:5

Vila Real - Gouveia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide