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Current Win Probability
Vilanova 45.4%
Draw 29.8%
Mollerussa 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
26.3%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
27.8%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vilanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilanova's form might have worsened.
Mollerussa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilanova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mollerussa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mollerussa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vilanova - Mollerussa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Scuri M. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Cuevas D. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Torrents J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 2 - 2, Graells Mas J. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 12).
Vilanova has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mollerussa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Vilanova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Vilanova is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vilanova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Watch
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