Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 17 May 2026, Sunday
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Vilanova |
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Cornellà |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.65 |
2.95 |
2.4 |
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 |
2.88 |
2.72 |
2.58 |
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3.15 |
2.39 |
2.82 |
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14.11 |
3.81 |
1.34 |
 Watch |
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2.8 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
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2.97 |
2.78 |
2.68 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.76 ↑
(2.72) |
2.91 ↓
(3.09) |
2.39 ↓
(2.46) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vilanova
21.6% | Draw
35.3% | Cornellà
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vilanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilanova's form might have worsened.Cornellà has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cornellà's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilanova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cornellà, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Vilanova - Cornellà Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Cornellà may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vilanova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Vilanova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | CF Vilanova | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
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| 8 | Cornella | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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