Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Vilassar de Mar		Can Vidalet

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.05	3.15
	1.08	9.41	20.89	Watch
	2.11	3.04	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.3)	5.17 ↑ (2.95)	9.13 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilassar de Mar
65.1%

Draw
22.3%

Can Vidalet
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

31.8%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilassar de Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilassar de Mar's performance.

Can Vidalet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Can Vidalet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilassar de Mar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Can Vidalet than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Can Vidalet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vilassar de Mar - Can Vidalet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Moreno J. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Rivera P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)

Vilassar de Mar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Can Vidalet has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
16.11.25	Mollerussa - Vilassar de Mar	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Vilassar de Mar - San Cristóbal	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Cornellà - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vilassar de Mar - Badalona	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLLT
- CF Can Vidalet
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
16.11.25	Can Vidalet - LHospitalet	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Mollerussa - Can Vidalet	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Can Vidalet - Manresa	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	San Cristóbal - Can Vidalet	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Can Vidalet - CE Europa B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLLWT

Vilassar de Mar - Can Vidalet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide