Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 22

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Vilassar de Mar		UE Sants

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.78	3.15	3.75
	1.74	3.17	3.8
	1.82	3.28	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.88)	3.2 ↑ (3.14)	3.94 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilassar de Mar
49.7%

Draw
27.7%

UE Sants
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.3%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

24.7%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilassar de Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

UE Sants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilassar de Mar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UE Sants than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UE Sants could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vilassar de Mar - UE Sants Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent matches Vilassar de Mar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sants is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vilassar de Mar is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vilassar de Mar won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilassar de Mar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.02.23	Rapitenca - Vilassar de Mar	4:1 ✺
05.02.23	Vilassar de Mar - Peralada	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Vilassar de Mar	2:1 ✺
22.01.23	Vilassar de Mar - Tona	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Grama - Vilassar de Mar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTLTW
- UE Sants
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.02.23	UE Sants - LHospitalet	0:3 ✺
05.02.23	Sant Andreu - UE Sants	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	UE Sants - Badalona	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	San Cristóbal - UE Sants	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Castelldefels - UE Sants	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
23.10.22	UE Sants - Vilassar de Mar	2:4
10.04.22	Vilassar de Mar - UE Sants	1:0
05.12.21	UE Sants - Vilassar de Mar	0:2
07.03.21	UE Sants - Vilassar de Mar	1:1
27.10.19	Vilassar de Mar - UE Sants	3:1

Vilassar de Mar - UE Sants: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide