Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Vilassar de Mar		Vilafranca

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.61	3.54	4.75
	1.61	3.58	5.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.41)	3.57 ↓ (4.33)	4.95 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilassar de Mar
56.5%

Draw
25.3%

Vilafranca
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

20.2%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilassar de Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilassar de Mar's form might have worsened.

Vilafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilassar de Mar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranca than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vilassar de Mar won 1.

Vilassar de Mar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Vilafranca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vilassar de Mar is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vilassar de Mar won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilassar de Mar won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
25.02.24	LHospitalet - Vilassar de Mar	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Vilassar de Mar - LEscala	6:2 ✺
11.02.24	Castelldefels - Vilassar de Mar	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Vilassar de Mar - Girona B	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Badalona - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWT
- FC Vilafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
25.02.24	Vilafranca - LEscala	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Girona B - Vilafranca	7:3 ✺
11.02.24	Vilafranca - Tona	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Reus FC Reddis - Vilafranca	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Vilafranca - Rapitenca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Vilafranca - Vilassar de Mar	0:1
08.01.23	Vilassar de Mar - Vilafranca	0:0
10.09.22	Vilafranca - Vilassar de Mar	2:1
02.02.22	Vilafranca - Vilassar de Mar	0:0
05.09.21	Vilassar de Mar - Vilafranca	1:1
01.03.20	Vilassar de Mar - Vilafranca	2:2
06.10.19	Vilafranca - Vilassar de Mar	1:1

Vilassar de Mar - Vilafranca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide