Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Castelldefels		Vilassar de Mar

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.8	2.5
	2.82	2.77	2.55
	2.83	2.88	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.17)	2.82 ↓ (3.1)	2.5 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelldefels
32.1%

Draw
31.9%

Vilassar de Mar
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

28.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelldefels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Vilassar de Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilassar de Mar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelldefels than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilassar de Mar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castelldefels won 3.

Recent matches Castelldefels is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vilassar de Mar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vilassar de Mar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Castelldefels won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelldefels won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Castelldefels
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.02.24	Castelldefels - Badalona	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	San Cristóbal - Castelldefels	0:6 ✺
21.01.24	Grama - Castelldefels	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Castelldefels - Pobla de Mafumet	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Peralada - Castelldefels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWTWL
- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.02.24	Vilassar de Mar - Girona B	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Badalona - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Tona - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Vilassar de Mar - San Cristóbal	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Vilassar de Mar - Reus FC Reddis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
24.09.23	Vilassar de Mar - Castelldefels	1:0
02.04.23	Castelldefels - Vilassar de Mar	1:0
27.11.22	Vilassar de Mar - Castelldefels	0:1
01.05.22	Vilassar de Mar - Castelldefels	0:0
23.12.21	Castelldefels - Vilassar de Mar	2:1
16.05.21	Vilassar de Mar - Castelldefels	1:1
25.04.21	Castelldefels - Vilassar de Mar	1:1

Castelldefels - Vilassar de Mar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide