Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 13

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Viljandi Tulevik		Pärnu Vaprus U21

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.25	3.1
	1.7	4.71	3.22
	1.07	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.83	4	3
	1.77	4.33	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.31)	3.66 ↓ (4.33)	2.72 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viljandi Tulevik
48.8%

Draw
21.8%

Pärnu Vaprus U21
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

21%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

20.9%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viljandi Tulevik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viljandi Tulevik's performance.

Pärnu Vaprus U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Vaprus U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viljandi Tulevik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus U21 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Matlik J. L. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Levit E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 2 - 1, Roos R. (Penalty Awarded),
87', 3 - 1, Tikut H. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Esiliiga (Promotion: ) and 4)

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Tulevik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tulevik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Including home match between the teams, Tulevik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tulevik	31	14	5	12	81:64	17	47
7	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	30	14	4	12	95:62	33	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonian Esiliiga B
24.05.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tabasalu	3:2 ✺
16.05.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Viljandi Tulevik	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:3 ✺
02.05.26	Levadia U19 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:5 ✺
26.04.26	Tammeka U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- Pärnu JK Vaprus U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
25.05.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Pärnu Vaprus U21	4:3 ✺
17.05.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Narva Trans U21	4:0 ✺
10.05.26	Tartu Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tammeka U21	7:2 ✺
28.04.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
23.04.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus U21	5:3

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