Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 9

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Pärnu Vaprus U21		Tammeka U21

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.25	2.48
	2.16	4.58	2.33
	2.11	4.88	2.42
	2.1	4	2.45
	2.16	4.89	2.42
	2.02	4.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.92)	4.45 ↓ (4.8)	2.46 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Vaprus U21
42.9%

Draw
20.3%

Tammeka U21
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

19.1%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

18.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Vaprus U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Tammeka U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus U21 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu Vaprus U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka U21 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tammeka U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Smirnov S. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Pikk E. T. ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, Pikk E. T. ⚽,
44', 4 - 0, Roosson R. ⚽,
45+1', 5 - 0, Kolvart S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 6 - 0, Pikk E. T. ⚽,
69', 6 - 1, Puu J. ⚽,
71', 6 - 2, Kiidron K. (Penalty Awarded),
73', 7 - 2, Roosson R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Esiliiga).

Pärnu Vaprus U21 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tammeka U21's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pärnu Vaprus U21 might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tammeka U21	30	15	4	11	74:60	14	49
7	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	30	14	4	12	95:62	33	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu JK Vaprus U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
28.04.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:3 ✺
23.04.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus U21	5:3 ✺
19.04.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTWW
- JK Tammeka Tartu U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
26.04.26	Tammeka U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	3:1 ✺
23.04.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tammeka U21	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Tammeka U21 - Tartu Kalev	7:1 ✺
11.04.26	Tammeka U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tammeka U21	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWL

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