Match Info

UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday


	Villa		Arua Hill

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.2	6
	1.58	3.32	5.95
	1.55	3.4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (2.18)	3.31 ↑ (2.9)	6.05 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Villa
58.1%

Draw
27.1%

Arua Hill
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

31.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa's performance.

Arua Hill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arua Hill might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arua Hill than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arua Hill could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Villa - Arua Hill Predictions

Users Predictions: Villa will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Angufindru N. 29. Kakande P. J. 11. Kiwanuka H. 12. Kizito G. 10. Lutalo U. 14. Lwanga C. 27. Masembe E. 8. Ngonde E. 2. Odong A. 4. Semakula K. (C) 13. Ssekiganda R.	13. Anyama R. (G) 15. Atendele G. 10. Gadafi W. (C) 28. Kerepi J. 2. Mandela N. 4. Musa I. 21. Oloro N. 30. Omirambe B. 23. Oriti I. 26. Rogers J. 16. Ssali M.
Substitutes
9. Bogere I. 6. Hamza M. 20. Juma R. 16. Kibande C. 23. Kigibire M. (G) 28. Kyeyune A. 44. Mutebi H. 7. Onzima P. 15. Owori D. 19. Semugera M. 22. Ssemakula A. 21. Sserubiri I. 24. Wokorach J. B.	25. Ahumuza W. 9. Kalanda F. 19. Mansoor S. 12. Moro S. 7. Mpande R. 29. Ringe

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Villa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arua Hill has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Villa is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Villa
Ugandan Super League
24.10.23	Villa - Bul	1:2 ✺
20.10.23	Vipers - Villa	1:1 ✺
29.09.23	Villa - NEC FC	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Maroons - Villa	1:1 ✺
15.09.23	Villa - Kitara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWTL
- Arua Hill SC
Ugandan Super League
31.10.23	Arua Hill - Kampala City Council	1:1 ✺
25.10.23	Mbarara City - Arua Hill	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Arua Hill - Entebbe UPPC	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Arua Hill - Bul	1:2 ✺
21.09.23	Vipers - Arua Hill	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
19.04.23	Villa - Arua Hill	0:1
19.11.22	Arua Hill - Villa	0:1
13.05.22	Villa - Arua Hill	2:1
14.12.21	Arua Hill - Villa	2:2

Villa - Arua Hill: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide