Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: FUFA Kadiba Stadium (Kampala)


	Villa		NEC FC

	1	X	2
	2.02	3	3.5
	2.10	3.06	3.45	Watch
	2.07	3	3.5
	2.03	3.05	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)	3.03 ↑ (3)	3.53 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa
44.2%

Draw
30%

NEC FC
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

30.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Villa - NEC FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Villa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Yiga N. ⚽,
88', 2 - 0, Ngonde E. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Jarieko J. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 12).

Villa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, NEC has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Villa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Villa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Villa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Villa
Ugandan Super League
06.11.25	Villa - Kitara	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Buhimba United Saints - Villa	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	Villa - Police	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Villa - Entebbe UPPC	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Kampala City Council - Villa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWTL
- NEC FC
Ugandan Super League
08.11.25	NEC FC - Bul	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Mbarara City - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Entebbe UPPC - NEC FC	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	NEC FC - Police	2:2 ✺
02.10.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - NEC FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
29.11.24	NEC FC - Villa	2:1
29.09.23	Villa - NEC FC	3:0

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