Match Info
Premier League - Round 9Date: 6 December 2025, SaturdayLocation: Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium (Kampala)
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 |
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 |
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Maroons |
|
Villa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.35 |
2.88 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.4 |
2.98 |
2.06 |
|
 |
3.45 |
3.05 |
2.1 |
 Watch |
 |
3.29 |
2.99 |
2.16 |
|
 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
1.83 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(3.25) |
3 ↑
(2.92) |
2.06 ↓
(2.24) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maroons
26.1% | Draw
30.1% | Villa
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maroons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)Maroons - Villa Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.25 - Maroons (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maroons (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Mayanja I. ⚽,
- 39', Tamale S. 🟥,
- 39', Kene G. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 1.Recent performances by Maroons have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Villa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Maroons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Villa will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Maroons won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 09.03.25 | Villa - Maroons | 0:2 | | 24.10.24 | Maroons - Villa | 1:1 | | 01.02.24 | Villa - Maroons | 2:1 | | 24.09.23 | Maroons - Villa | 1:1 | | 04.12.22 | Villa - Maroons | 1:0 | | 12.10.19 | Maroons - Villa | 0:0 | | 23.04.19 | Maroons - Villa | 0:1 |
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