Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mutesa II Stadium (Kampala)


	Villa		Kigezi HomeBoyz

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.05	11.5
	1.27	4.33	9.63
	1.3	4.29	11.1	Watch
	1.24	4.2	9.4
	1.25	4.25	13.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.51)	4.22 ↑ (3.6)	11.05 ↑ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa
70.7%

Draw
21.2%

Kigezi HomeBoyz
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

25.5%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa's performance.

Kigezi HomeBoyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kigezi HomeBoyz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Villa - Kigezi HomeBoyz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Kakande P. (Penalty Awarded),
17', 2 - 0, Ssemakula A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 3 - 0, Otim A. ⚽,

Preview

Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Villa is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Villa	5	3	2	0	8:2	6	11
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	4	0	1	3	1:6	-5	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Villa
Ugandan Super League
09.09.26	Villa - Express	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Villa	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Villa - Kitara	1:1 ✺
Ugandan Cup
30.05.26	Kitara - Villa	2:1 ✺
Ugandan Super League
20.05.26	NEC FC - Villa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTLW
- Kigezi HomeBoyz
Ugandan Super League
08.09.26	Kigezi HomeBoyz - Kampala City Council	0:0 ✺
Uganda Big League
25.03.26	Kiyinda Boys - Kigezi HomeBoyz	1:1 ✺
23.12.25	Kigezi HomeBoyz - Paidha Black Angels	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Iganga United - Kigezi HomeBoyz	2:1 ✺
27.11.25	Mbale Heroes - Kigezi HomeBoyz	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTWLW

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