Match Info

Uganda Cup - Final

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: FUFA Technical Centre (Njeru)


	Kitara		Villa

	1	X	2
	2.93	2.02	3.63
	3.19	1.91	4.01	Watch
	2.66	2.56	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.69)	2.16 ↓ (2.75)	3.61 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kitara
31.6%

Draw
42.8%

Villa
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

32.7%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

34.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kitara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kitara - Villa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Semayange S. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Lukwago D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Kalema J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitara won 2.

Kitara has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kitara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kitara won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kitara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kitara FC
Ugandan Super League
19.05.26	Bul - Kitara	1:1 ✺
Ugandan Cup
15.05.26	Vipers - Kitara	1:1 ✺
Ugandan Super League
12.05.26	Express - Kitara	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Kitara - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
Ugandan Cup
03.05.26	Kitara - Vipers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLLT
- SC Villa
Ugandan Super League
20.05.26	NEC FC - Villa	1:4 ✺
Ugandan Cup
16.05.26	Villa - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	1:0 ✺
Ugandan Super League
13.05.26	Mbarara City - Villa	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Villa - Bul	0:0 ✺
Ugandan Cup
04.05.26	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Villa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
30.04.26	Kitara - Villa	2:0
06.11.25	Villa - Kitara	1:0
26.04.25	Villa - Kitara	0:0
07.01.25	Kitara - Villa	1:0
09.02.24	Kitara - Villa	1:1
15.09.23	Villa - Kitara	1:2
20.02.21	Villa - Kitara	3:2

Upcoming Matches