Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Sazza Grounds Mityana Town (Kampala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	FUFA TV, Sanyuka TV


	Villa		Mbale Heroes

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.2	14
	1.15	6.5	15.9	Watch
	1.12	6.55	16
	1.15	6.2	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.29)	6.36 ↑ (4.3)	14.98 ↑ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa
79.6%

Draw
14.3%

Mbale Heroes
6.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

21.2%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa's performance.

Mbale Heroes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Villa - Mbale Heroes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Villa (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Wokorach J. (G) 18. Atukunda T. 10. Kakande P. 4. Kene G. 14. Lwanga C. 35. Mangoli R. 8. Ngonde E. 15. Owori D. (C) 6. Semayange S. 19. Semugera M. 22. Ssemakula A.	19. Oyo D. (G) 30. Adima H. 25. Bironse A. 2. Eseru R. 26. Kajuba J. 4. Kasozi S. 28. Kato H. 23. Matata J. 13. Muwanguzi A. 18. Olega C. 6. Ssali M. (C)
Substitutes
12. Kajubi I. 23. Kigibire M. (G) 39. Matovu S. 5. Mpande R. 26. Mubiru H. 3. Mulimi F. 7. Mulindi A. 2. Odong A. 20. Omony D. 21. Otim A. 17. Ssenyonga J. 32. Yiga N.	17. Kawooya A. 10. Kibirango H. 1. Mabuya S. (G) 21. Nsubuga M. 15. Ssekajja D. 14. Ssenkungu P. 16. Waiswa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Semayange S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Kasozi S. (Own goal),
58', Matata J. ↓, Kibirango H. ↑,
58', Kajuba J. ↓, Kawooya A. ↑,
65', Lwanga C. ↓, Mpande R. ↑,
65', Ngonde E. ↓, Matovu S. ↑,
72', 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Eseru R. ⚽, Kibirango H. (A),
77', Ssemakula A. ↓, Mulindi A. ↑,
79', Mangoli R. ↓, Odong A. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Kakande P. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

Recent matches Villa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mbale Heroes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Villa is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Villa
Ugandan Super League
04.04.25	Bul - Villa	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Villa - Vipers	1:0 ✺
Ugandan Cup
18.03.25	Lugazi Municipal - Villa	0:1 ✺
Ugandan Super League
14.03.25	Bright Stars - Villa	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	Villa - Maroons	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWWWL
- Mbale Heroes
Ugandan Super League
05.04.25	Mbale Heroes - Wakiso Giants	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbale Heroes	3:2 ✺
13.03.25	Mbale Heroes - Lugazi Municipal	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Kampala City Council - Mbale Heroes	5:0 ✺
01.03.25	Mbale Heroes - Police	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
22.09.24	Mbale Heroes - Villa	1:0

Villa - Mbale Heroes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide