Match Info
Premier League - Round 24Date: 22 April 2026, WednesdayLocation: Lugazi FC Stadium (Najjembe)
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Lugazi Municipal |
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Villa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.95 |
3.2 |
1.68 |
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4.84 |
3.18 |
1.65 |
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5 |
3.1 |
1.67 |
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5.56 |
3.24 |
1.63 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.09 ↓
(6.66) |
3.18 ↓
(3.46) |
1.66 ↑
(1.51) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lugazi Municipal
17.6% | Draw
28.2% | Villa
54.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugazi Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Lugazi Municipal - Villa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Ssebuufu F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4).Lugazi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Villa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Villa is the obvious favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Lugazi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 11 |
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| 8 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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