Match Info

UGANDA: Premier League - Round 20

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Mbale Municipal Stadium (Mbale)


	Mbale Heroes		Lugazi Municipal

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.5	1.65
	4.42	3.39	1.7
				Watch
	5.25	3	1.72
	5.13	3.4	1.64
	4.8	3.5	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.25)	3.36 ↑ (2.88)	1.67 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbale Heroes
18.6%

Draw
27.1%

Lugazi Municipal
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

31.6%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbale Heroes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lugazi Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugazi Municipal's recent form is better than expected.

Mbale Heroes - Lugazi Municipal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mabuya S. (G) 30. Adima H. 2. Eseru R. 3. Kafumbe J. 26. Kajuba J. 4. Kasozi S. 10. Kibirango H. 20. Musamali P. 6. Ssali M. 14. Ssenkungu P. 16. Waiswa C.	23. Mutebi J. (G) 24. Ayiko R. (C) 6. Bayo A. 27. Mungudit F. 8. Mwanje D. 3. Obua E. 4. Othieno J. 12. Saaka S. 19. Ssemugugu S. 5. Ssenoga H. 17. Wasswa P.
Substitutes
17. Kawooya A. 5. Malunda M. 23. Matata J. 21. Nsubuga M. 18. Olega C.	18. Amanya I. 13. Avemah S. 10. Buga M. 1. Fahad E. (G) 16. Kalanzi A. 30. Lubega M. 15. Lutakome J. 28. Mitala M. 21. Rogers A. 20. Rogers A. 26. Ssajjibi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Ssemugugu S. ⚽,
13', Waiswa C. ↓, Matata J. ↑,
31', 0 - 2, Ssenoga H. ⚽,
31', Kasozi S. 🟨,
37', Obua E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Eseru R. ⚽,
70', Musamali P. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
79', 1 - 3, Saaka S. ⚽,
81', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 11).

In this match Lugazi is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mbale Heroes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mbale Heroes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbale Heroes
Ugandan Super League
08.03.25	Kampala City Council - Mbale Heroes	5:0 ✺
01.03.25	Mbale Heroes - Police	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Bul - Mbale Heroes	3:0 ✺
13.02.25	Mbale Heroes - Mbarara City	0:1 ✺
07.01.25	Mbale Heroes - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL
- Lugazi Municipal FC
Ugandan Super League
06.03.25	Lugazi Municipal - Express	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Lugazi Municipal - Wakiso Giants	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Lugazi Municipal - Police	1:0 ✺
06.01.25	Bright Stars - Lugazi Municipal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
16.10.24	Lugazi Municipal - Mbale Heroes	1:1
Uganda Big League
30.03.24	Mbale Heroes - Lugazi Municipal	1:1
29.10.23	Lugazi Municipal - Mbale Heroes	1:2

Mbale Heroes - Lugazi Municipal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide