Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: MTN Omondi Stadium (Bugoloobi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	FUFA TV, Sanyuka TV


	NEC FC		Police

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.25
	1.71	3.26	4.97	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.12
	1.77	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.72)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)	4.36 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC FC
52.2%

Draw
27%

Police
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

28.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

NEC FC - Police Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Kizza M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 2 - 0, Waibi C. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Bbaale C. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Kasumba U. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, NEC is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, NEC won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, NEC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC FC
Ugandan Super League
02.10.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - NEC FC	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.09.25	Nairobi United - NEC FC	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	NEC FC - Nairobi United	2:2 ✺
Ugandan Super League
07.05.25	NEC FC - Bul	1:1 ✺
30.04.25	Mbarara City - NEC FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTTW
- Police FC Kampala
Ugandan Super League
02.10.25	Police - Express	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Police - Mbarara City	1:1 ✺
29.04.25	Kampala City Council - Police	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Police - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	2:0 ✺
Ugandan Cup
22.04.25	Police - Kataka	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
16.02.25	Police - NEC FC	1:1
05.11.24	NEC FC - Police	0:0

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